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diablo12@2007-04-03 16:50

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Plaza Accord
The Plaza Accord was an agreement signed on September 22, 1985 by the then G5 nations (France, West Germany, Japan, the United States and the United Kingdom). The G5 agreed to devalue the US dollar in relation to the Japanese yen and German Deutsche Mark by intervening in currency markets.

The exchange rate value of the dollar versus the yen declined 51% over the two years after this agreement took place. Most of this devaluation was due to the $10 billion spent by the participating central banks. Currency speculation caused the dollar to continue its fall after the end of coordinated interventions. Unlike some similar financial crises of the 1990s (such as the Mexican and the Argentinian financial crises of 1994 and 2001 respectively), this devaluation was planned, done in an orderly manner with pre-announcement, and did not lead to financial panic in the world markets.

The reason for the dollar's devaluation was two-fold: to reduce the US current account deficit, which had reached 3.5% of the GDP, and to help the US economy to emerge from a serious recession that began in the early 1980s. Paul Volcker's Fed had overvalued the dollar enough to make industry in the US (particularly the automobile industry) less competitive in the global market. Devaluing the dollar made US exports cheaper to its trading partners, which in turn meant that other countries bought more American-made goods and services. The Plaza Accord was successful in reducing the US trade deficit with Western European nations but largely failed to fulfill its primary objective of alleviating the trade deficit with Japan due to the fact that this deficit was due to structural rather than monetary conditions. US manufactured goods became more competitive in the exports market but were still largely unable to succeed in the Japanese domestic market due to Japan's structural restrictions on imports. The recessionary effects of the strengthened yen in Japan's export-dependent economy created an incentive for the expansionary monetary policies that led to the Japanese asset price bubble of the late 1980s. The Louvre Accord was signed in 1987 to halt the continuing decline of the US Dollar.

It is unlikely that such an arrangement would have succeeded in the long run, as the global economy is too large, heterogenous, and fluid for even the most sophisticated central banks to effectively intervene.

The Plaza Accord was signed in the Plaza Hotel, in the city of New York.


关于Fiscal Investment and Loan Program的流弊,参考如下:

日本2001年社保基金投资体制与投资策略改革评述:问题与前途

郑秉文  王新梅  房连泉 

摘 要:在2001年改革之前,日本中央社保基金"年金积立金"始终是通过"财政投融资计画"这个机构对产业和基础设施等领域进行投资来实现其增值保值的目的,结果出现了大量的坏账损失.鉴于此,2001年4月日本开始对社保基金投资管理体制进行大幅度的改革,新成立的"年金资金运用基金"代之以原来的"财政投融资计画"负责基金的投资运营,开始实施市场化的投资策略改革,将投资开始向资本市场倾斜.本文对2001年以来的改革过程和绩效进行了实事求是的分析,在占有大量第一手资料的基础上,首次对新体制的运行和存在的问题进行了评价,对我国社保基金的投资管理不乏具有特殊的启发.
关键词:经济体制;社保基金投资;日本经济体制;投资管理;资本市场
分类号:F841 文献标识码:A
文章编号:1002-3291(2006)01-0113-08
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diablo12@2007-04-03 16:51

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最初由 时间的守护者 发布


I服了U[/han],考据派就是不一样,上来就把配对星人打飞了……大菠萝,过来看看,这叫专业!


貌似观点是支援我的……
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diablo12@2007-04-03 16:52

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最初由 时间的守护者 发布


孩子,去看《资本论》吧:o


口胡,给点专业精神……至少针对我对你提的要求,好好回答……
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Lincton@2007-04-03 17:00

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最初由 diablo12 发布


貌似观点是支援我的……


“貌似”去掉好了[/TX]

碰巧年初处理过这个话题的东西罢了……
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ddtrrt@2007-04-03 17:00

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最初由 时间的守护者 发布


I服了U[/han],考据派就是不一样,上来就把配对星人打飞了……大菠萝,过来看看,这叫专业!
时乎时乎,其实你把这类的东西多看过几篇,再加上请教一些专业的人士,就会发现我前面说的“就中日这两国还有资格谈玩经济?山羊和绵羊比牙,吃饱了撑的。”绝对是形容得相当贴切的。
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sltk@2007-04-03 17:09

这个.....
在战虾米? >_<
看不懂呀
还以为是大菠萝与 NA 的对手戏,特地跑过来看:o
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diablo12@2007-04-03 17:19

Paying For The FILP

http://www.nber.org/papers/w9385

PDF格式,应战,不过没达到25万字这个坎

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为“财政投融资计画”买单
Paying For The FILP
土居丈郎 星 岳雄
  日本政府出面组织的投资,即财政投融资计画(FILP)是日本坏账问题的主要根源之一。本文考察FILP的财政状况,以分析它是否对日本经济的复苏构成阻碍。作者的研究调查 ,在2000年财政年度末(2001年3月),FILP项目涉及418万亿日元,相当于GDP的82%,而且该项目使用资金的报表总额超过了GDP的总值。估计其中有75%的FILP贷款是坏账。预计损失金额将达到75万亿日元(GDP的15%还多)。作者指出,已发生的和预期要发生的损失金额是巨大的。这些损失是政府的隐含债务(并且因此也就是纳税人的隐含债务)。与其他的隐含债务一起,例如清理金融部门的支出(见深尾深尾的文章),FILP损失将严重地阻碍经济的复苏。
下载PDF文件 Adobe Acrobat Reader 5.05简体中文版


中文的PDF不厚道地要密码和用户名……
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gundam008393@2007-04-03 17:21

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最初由 phyrexian 发布
O.C.U VS U.S.N

那个O.C.U VS U.S.N是什么漫画里的,好象是前线吧叫什么名字?那里可以找到啊
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diablo12@2007-04-03 17:21

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最初由 Lincton 发布


“貌似”去掉好了[/TX]

碰巧年初处理过这个话题的东西罢了……


握手,其实,我第一帖说得含糊了一些没在“玩经济”上打引号,被抽也是应该的。后面是不得不战啊……
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dummyplug@2007-04-03 17:45

我也禁不住要同情中国人脑子里的日本了
看了这帖以后,哦,对不住,是“某些中国人”
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diablo12@2007-04-03 17:48

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最初由 dummyplug 发布
我也禁不住要同情中国人脑子里的日本了
看了这帖以后,哦,对不住,是“某些中国人”


有情提醒,能否把“某些”定义得清楚一点,说吧!你站在哪一边……
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dummyplug@2007-04-03 17:50

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最初由 diablo12 发布


有情提醒,能否把“某些”定义得清楚一点,说吧!你站在哪一边……

谁不禁同情美国,我就不禁同情日本,连带同情那个同情美国的主
ps:大家要河蟹,不要海蟹:D
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diablo12@2007-04-03 17:52

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最初由 dummyplug 发布

谁同情美国,我就同情日本,连带同情那个同情美国的主
ps:大家要河蟹,不要海蟹:D


恕我愚钝,解毒不能……

说吧!你是要战时间J还是战PDF党……
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时间的守护者@2007-04-03 17:52

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最初由 diablo12 发布


口胡,给点专业精神……至少针对我对你提的要求,好好回答……


谁叫你换了头像,我一时没认出来就直接抽了,我错了你放过我吧[/han]
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魚腸劍@2007-04-03 18:01

草,时间你敢和大基萝和解我就跟你绝交
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